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5 of 10 matches with xG: 8 goals from 14.4 xG (0.55 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| El Geish 2–1 Al Ahly | 1.62–2.50 | 24% · 19% · 57% | Won against the xG: El Geish |
| National Bank of Egypt 0–1 Pyramids FC | 0.42–1.16 | 13% · 32% · 55% | Win in line with xG for Pyramids FC |
| El Gouna FC 1–0 AL Masry | 1.21–1.68 | 28% · 24% · 48% | Won against the xG: El Gouna FC |
| Enppi 1–0 Zamalek SC | 2.44–1.84 | 51% · 19% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Enppi |
| Masr 2–0 Future FC | 0.69–0.86 | 27% · 36% · 37% | Close call, Masr won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.