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9 of 10 matches with xG: 13 goals from 13.5 xG (0.96 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Future FC 1–1 Kahraba Ismailia | 1.70–1.17 | 50% · 24% · 26% | Draw in line with xG |
| Al Ittihad 1–0 Smouha SC | 0.28–0.93 | 11% · 38% · 51% | Won against the xG: Al Ittihad |
| Enppi 0–0 National Bank of Egypt | 0.50–0.21 | 33% · 54% · 12% | Draw in line with xG |
| El Mokawloon 1–1 AL Masry | 0.84–0.40 | 44% · 40% · 17% | Draw in line with xG |
| Al Ahly 1–0 El Gouna FC | 1.07–0.64 | 45% · 33% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Al Ahly |
| Pharco 1–1 Petrojet | 0.48–1.25 | 14% · 30% · 56% | Draw against the xG: Petrojet had 56% |
| Zamalek SC 2–0 Haras El Hodood | 1.04–0.89 | 38% · 31% · 30% | Win in line with xG for Zamalek SC |
| Ismaily SC 1–2 Wadi Degla | 0.37–0.77 | 16% · 42% · 42% | Win in line with xG for Wadi Degla |
| Ghazl El Mehalla 0–0 Masr | 0.11–0.86 | 5% · 42% · 54% | Draw against the xG: Masr had 54% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.