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10 of 10 matches with xG: 20 goals from 19.1 xG (1.05 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| El Gouna FC 1–1 El Mokawloon | 1.15–0.96 | 40% · 30% · 30% | Draw in line with xG |
| Smouha SC 0–1 Al Ahly | 0.75–0.72 | 32% · 37% · 31% | Close call, Al Ahly won |
| Kahraba Ismailia 2–2 El Geish | 0.75–1.92 | 14% · 21% · 65% | Draw against the xG: El Geish had 65% |
| Masr 1–2 Zamalek SC | 0.83–0.98 | 30% · 33% · 38% | Win in line with xG for Zamalek SC |
| Ghazl El Mehalla 1–3 Pyramids FC | 0.62–1.48 | 16% · 26% · 58% | Win in line with xG for Pyramids FC |
| Haras El Hodood 1–0 Enppi | 0.85–0.44 | 43% · 39% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Haras El Hodood |
| Ceramica Cleopatra 1–1 Ismaily SC | 1.47–0.98 | 48% · 26% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| Petrojet 1–0 Al Ittihad | 0.78–0.63 | 36% · 38% · 27% | Close call, Petrojet won |
| National Bank of Egypt 1–0 Pharco | 1.95–0.51 | 72% · 19% · 9% | Win in line with xG for National Bank of Egypt |
| AL Masry 1–0 Future FC | 1.01–0.33 | 52% · 36% · 12% | Win in line with xG for AL Masry |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.