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8 of 10 matches with xG: 15 goals from 15.6 xG (0.96 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wadi Degla 0–0 Masr | 0.39–0.42 | 23% · 52% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| Zamalek SC 0–0 Al Ittihad | 1.07–1.12 | 34% · 29% · 37% | Draw in line with xG |
| El Geish 1–0 El Mokawloon | 0.94–0.35 | 49% · 37% · 13% | Win in line with xG for El Geish |
| AL Masry 1–0 Smouha SC | 0.56–0.47 | 30% · 46% · 24% | Close call, AL Masry won |
| Ghazl El Mehalla 0–3 Pyramids FC | 0.30–1.61 | 6% · 23% · 71% | Win in line with xG for Pyramids FC |
| El Gouna FC 1–1 Future FC | 1.05–0.87 | 39% · 31% · 29% | Draw in line with xG |
| Al Ahly 3–2 Enppi | 1.66–0.96 | 54% · 24% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Al Ahly |
| Ceramica Cleopatra 1–2 Olympic El Qanah | 2.35–1.46 | 57% · 19% · 23% | Won against the xG: Olympic El Qanah |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.