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10 of 10 matches with xG: 29 goals from 19.7 xG (1.47 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Smouha SC 0–0 Asyut Petrol | 0.72–0.83 | 29% · 36% · 35% | Draw in line with xG |
| National Bank of Egypt 0–3 Zamalek SC | 1.20–0.86 | 44% · 30% · 26% | Won against the xG: Zamalek SC |
| Petrojet 2–3 El Geish | 1.13–0.29 | 58% · 33% · 9% | Won against the xG: El Geish |
| Future FC 2–0 Ghazl El Mehalla | 1.88–0.82 | 62% · 22% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Future FC |
| El Mokawloon 2–3 AL Masry | 0.25–1.04 | 9% · 35% · 56% | Win in line with xG for AL Masry |
| Pyramids FC 2–0 Abu Qair Semad | 0.62–0.11 | 43% · 52% · 6% | Close call, Pyramids FC won |
| Olympic El Qanah 1–1 El Gouna FC | 0.42–0.94 | 16% · 37% · 47% | Draw in line with xG |
| Enppi 1–3 Wadi Degla | 1.91–2.26 | 33% · 20% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Wadi Degla |
| Al Ittihad 1–3 Ceramica Cleopatra | 1.05–1.14 | 33% · 29% · 38% | Win in line with xG for Ceramica Cleopatra |
| Masr 0–2 Al Ahly | 0.95–1.25 | 28% · 29% · 43% | Win in line with xG for Al Ahly |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.