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10 of 10 matches with xG: 12 goals from 20.7 xG (0.58 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Asyut Petrol 0–1 National Bank of Egypt | 0.36–0.61 | 18% · 47% · 35% | Close call, National Bank of Egypt won |
| AL Masry 0–1 Pyramids FC | 0.54–0.51 | 28% · 45% · 26% | Close call, Pyramids FC won |
| Zamalek SC 2–1 Petrojet | 0.72–2.65 | 8% · 14% · 78% | Won against the xG: Zamalek SC |
| El Geish 0–1 Masr | 0.83–1.17 | 26% · 30% · 44% | Win in line with xG for Masr |
| Ghazl El Mehalla 0–0 Enppi | 0.70–0.52 | 35% · 41% · 24% | Draw in line with xG |
| Wadi Degla 0–0 Olympic El Qanah | 2.52–0.86 | 73% · 16% · 11% | Draw against the xG: Wadi Degla had 73% |
| El Gouna FC 0–1 El Mokawloon | 1.14–1.61 | 27% · 25% · 48% | Win in line with xG for El Mokawloon |
| Abu Qair Semad 0–2 Al Ittihad | 0.77–1.09 | 26% · 32% · 43% | Win in line with xG for Al Ittihad |
| Ceramica Cleopatra 2–0 Future FC | 1.62–0.85 | 56% · 25% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Ceramica Cleopatra |
| Al Ahly 1–0 Smouha SC | 1.61–0.00 | 80% · 20% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Al Ahly |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.