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10 of 10 matches with xG: 23 goals from 22.5 xG (1.02 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Ittihad 1–0 Asyut Petrol | 0.48–0.67 | 23% · 43% · 35% | Close call, Al Ittihad won |
| Olympic El Qanah 1–1 El Geish | 0.54–1.18 | 17% · 31% · 52% | Draw against the xG: El Geish had 52% |
| National Bank of Egypt 3–1 Ghazl El Mehalla | 1.54–0.73 | 57% · 26% · 18% | Win in line with xG for National Bank of Egypt |
| Petrojet 2–1 AL Masry | 1.51–2.67 | 20% · 18% · 62% | Won against the xG: Petrojet |
| Smouha SC 0–2 Ceramica Cleopatra | 0.62–0.55 | 31% · 43% · 26% | Close call, Ceramica Cleopatra won |
| Zamalek SC 2–0 Abu Qair Semad | 0.92–0.98 | 32% · 32% · 36% | Close call, Zamalek SC won |
| Pyramids FC 1–0 El Gouna FC | 1.96–0.07 | 84% · 15% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Pyramids FC |
| Future FC 2–1 Wadi Degla | 0.99–0.97 | 35% · 31% · 34% | Win in line with xG for Future FC |
| El Mokawloon 1–1 Al Ahly | 1.14–1.29 | 33% · 27% · 40% | Draw in line with xG |
| Enppi 2–1 Masr | 2.01–1.73 | 45% · 21% · 34% | Win in line with xG for Enppi |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.