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12 of 12 matches with xG: 24 goals from 26.8 xG (0.90 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hull City 0–2 Sheffield Utd | 1.03–0.61 | 45% · 34% · 21% | Won against the xG: Sheffield Utd |
| Leeds 0–1 Burnley | 1.24–0.66 | 50% · 30% · 20% | Won against the xG: Burnley |
| Millwall 0–1 Luton | 0.97–0.58 | 44% · 35% · 21% | Won against the xG: Luton |
| Oxford United 1–0 Stoke City | 1.27–0.53 | 55% · 30% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Oxford United |
| Blackburn 3–0 Bristol City | 0.98–0.74 | 40% · 33% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Blackburn |
| Derby 1–0 Cardiff | 1.41–0.34 | 64% · 27% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Derby |
| Middlesbrough 1–1 Preston | 1.64–0.44 | 67% · 23% · 9% | Draw against the xG: Middlesbrough had 67% |
| Plymouth 3–2 Sunderland | 1.73–1.64 | 41% · 23% · 37% | Win in line with xG for Plymouth |
| Sheffield Wednesday 1–1 QPR | 0.82–1.29 | 24% · 29% · 48% | Draw in line with xG |
| Swansea 1–0 Norwich | 0.71–1.13 | 23% · 31% · 46% | Won against the xG: Swansea |
| Watford 1–1 Coventry | 1.76–2.26 | 30% · 20% · 49% | Draw in line with xG |
| Portsmouth 0–3 West Brom | 0.70–2.27 | 10% · 17% · 73% | Win in line with xG for West Brom |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.