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10 of 10 matches with xG: 37 goals from 31.1 xG (1.19 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City 2–0 Everton | 1.63–0.32 | 71% · 23% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Manchester City |
| Fulham 3–1 Bournemouth | 1.55–1.84 | 33% · 22% · 45% | Close call, Fulham won |
| Liverpool 3–1 Burnley | 2.86–1.33 | 69% · 16% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Liverpool |
| Luton 1–3 Sheffield Utd | 1.88–1.81 | 41% · 22% · 38% | Close call, Sheffield Utd won |
| Tottenham 2–1 Brighton | 1.65–1.24 | 47% · 24% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Tottenham |
| Wolves 0–2 Brentford | 1.05–1.94 | 20% · 22% · 58% | Win in line with xG for Brentford |
| Nottingham Forest 2–3 Newcastle | 1.50–0.48 | 63% · 26% · 12% | Won against the xG: Newcastle |
| West Ham 0–6 Arsenal | 0.22–3.59 | 1% · 4% · 95% | Win in line with xG for Arsenal |
| Aston Villa 1–2 Manchester United | 2.43–1.79 | 52% · 19% · 28% | Won against the xG: Manchester United |
| Crystal Palace 1–3 Chelsea | 0.56–1.40 | 15% · 27% · 58% | Win in line with xG for Chelsea |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.