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10 of 10 matches with xG: 45 goals from 31.8 xG (1.42 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Everton 2–2 Tottenham | 2.62–0.98 | 72% · 16% · 12% | Draw against the xG: Everton had 72% |
| Brighton 4–1 Crystal Palace | 1.43–0.30 | 66% · 26% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Brighton |
| Burnley 2–2 Fulham | 1.81–1.51 | 45% · 23% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| Newcastle 4–4 Luton | 2.40–2.36 | 41% · 19% · 40% | Draw in line with xG |
| Sheffield Utd 0–5 Aston Villa | 1.48–2.19 | 26% · 20% · 54% | Win in line with xG for Aston Villa |
| Bournemouth 1–1 Nottingham Forest | 1.27–0.53 | 55% · 30% · 16% | Draw against the xG: Bournemouth had 55% |
| Chelsea 2–4 Wolves | 1.74–2.00 | 34% · 21% · 45% | Win in line with xG for Wolves |
| Manchester United 3–0 West Ham | 0.75–1.40 | 20% · 27% · 52% | Won against the xG: Manchester United |
| Arsenal 3–1 Liverpool | 3.50–0.37 | 93% · 6% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Arsenal |
| Brentford 1–3 Manchester City | 1.04–2.09 | 18% · 20% · 61% | Win in line with xG for Manchester City |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.