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10 of 10 matches with xG: 29 goals from 26.9 xG (1.08 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest 3–1 Fulham | 1.53–1.50 | 39% · 24% · 37% | Win in line with xG for Nottingham Forest |
| Newcastle 1–1 Everton | 2.44–1.44 | 60% · 19% · 22% | Draw against the xG: Newcastle had 60% |
| Bournemouth 1–0 Crystal Palace | 1.10–0.19 | 60% · 34% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Bournemouth |
| Burnley 1–1 Wolves | 1.34–0.90 | 47% · 28% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| West Ham 1–1 Tottenham | 1.49–0.96 | 50% · 26% · 24% | Draw in line with xG |
| Arsenal 2–0 Luton | 0.82–0.34 | 45% · 41% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Arsenal |
| Brentford 0–0 Brighton | 0.57–1.14 | 18% · 32% · 50% | Draw in line with xG |
| Manchester City 4–1 Aston Villa | 3.46–0.77 | 87% · 9% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Manchester City |
| Liverpool 3–1 Sheffield Utd | 1.83–0.59 | 67% · 21% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Liverpool |
| Chelsea 4–3 Manchester United | 3.02–1.47 | 69% · 15% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Chelsea |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.