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10 of 10 matches with xG: 32 goals from 33.8 xG (0.95 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle 4–3 West Ham | 4.07–1.42 | 82% · 10% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Newcastle |
| Bournemouth 2–1 Everton | 1.32–1.01 | 44% · 28% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Bournemouth |
| Chelsea 2–2 Burnley | 4.26–1.64 | 81% · 10% · 9% | Draw against the xG: Chelsea had 81% |
| Nottingham Forest 1–1 Crystal Palace | 0.92–1.19 | 28% · 30% · 42% | Draw in line with xG |
| Sheffield Utd 3–3 Fulham | 1.89–1.30 | 51% · 22% · 26% | Draw against the xG: Sheffield Utd had 51% |
| Tottenham 2–1 Luton | 2.99–0.52 | 86% · 10% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Tottenham |
| Aston Villa 2–0 Wolves | 0.98–1.49 | 25% · 26% · 49% | Won against the xG: Aston Villa |
| Brentford 1–1 Manchester United | 3.29–0.59 | 88% · 8% · 4% | Draw against the xG: Brentford had 88% |
| Liverpool 2–1 Brighton | 2.83–0.45 | 86% · 10% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Liverpool |
| Manchester City 0–0 Arsenal | 1.02–0.66 | 43% · 33% · 23% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.