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10 of 10 matches with xG: 30 goals from 32.3 xG (0.93 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley 2–1 Brentford | 2.77–1.16 | 71% · 16% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Burnley |
| Luton 1–1 Nottingham Forest | 0.58–1.98 | 10% · 20% · 71% | Draw against the xG: Nottingham Forest had 71% |
| Fulham 3–0 Tottenham | 2.76–2.41 | 47% · 18% · 35% | Win in line with xG for Fulham |
| West Ham 1–1 Aston Villa | 2.02–0.66 | 69% · 20% · 11% | Draw against the xG: West Ham had 69% |
| Arsenal 5–0 Chelsea | 3.42–1.68 | 71% · 14% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Arsenal |
| Wolves 0–1 Bournemouth | 0.56–1.96 | 10% · 20% · 71% | Win in line with xG for Bournemouth |
| Crystal Palace 2–0 Newcastle | 0.89–0.36 | 47% · 39% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Crystal Palace |
| Everton 2–0 Liverpool | 1.26–2.08 | 23% · 21% · 56% | Won against the xG: Everton |
| Manchester United 4–2 Sheffield Utd | 2.94–0.82 | 80% · 12% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Manchester United |
| Brighton 0–4 Manchester City | 0.62–1.36 | 17% · 28% · 55% | Win in line with xG for Manchester City |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.