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10 of 10 matches with xG: 30 goals from 31.1 xG (0.96 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United 2–0 Everton | 2.72–1.61 | 61% · 17% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Manchester United |
| Bournemouth 2–2 Sheffield Utd | 3.35–1.25 | 77% · 12% · 10% | Draw against the xG: Bournemouth had 77% |
| Crystal Palace 1–1 Luton | 2.73–0.84 | 77% · 14% · 9% | Draw against the xG: Crystal Palace had 77% |
| Wolves 2–1 Fulham | 0.83–2.70 | 9% · 14% · 77% | Won against the xG: Wolves |
| Arsenal 2–1 Brentford | 1.28–0.97 | 44% · 28% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Arsenal |
| Aston Villa 0–4 Tottenham | 0.83–1.55 | 20% · 26% · 54% | Win in line with xG for Tottenham |
| Brighton 1–0 Nottingham Forest | 0.43–0.70 | 20% · 43% · 37% | Won against the xG: Brighton |
| West Ham 2–2 Burnley | 2.11–0.68 | 71% · 19% · 11% | Draw against the xG: West Ham had 71% |
| Liverpool 1–1 Manchester City | 2.70–1.56 | 62% · 17% · 21% | Draw against the xG: Liverpool had 62% |
| Chelsea 3–2 Newcastle | 1.57–0.74 | 57% · 25% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Chelsea |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.