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10 of 10 matches with xG: 33 goals from 35.0 xG (0.94 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle 4–0 Tottenham | 2.88–0.77 | 80% · 12% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Newcastle |
| Brentford 2–0 Sheffield Utd | 1.02–0.84 | 39% · 32% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Brentford |
| Burnley 1–1 Brighton | 1.71–0.86 | 58% · 24% · 19% | Draw against the xG: Burnley had 58% |
| Manchester City 5–1 Luton | 4.32–0.51 | 95% · 4% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Manchester City |
| Nottingham Forest 2–2 Wolves | 1.92–1.09 | 57% · 22% · 21% | Draw against the xG: Nottingham Forest had 57% |
| Bournemouth 2–2 Manchester United | 1.64–1.26 | 46% · 24% · 29% | Draw in line with xG |
| Liverpool 0–1 Crystal Palace | 2.81–1.98 | 56% · 18% · 27% | Won against the xG: Crystal Palace |
| West Ham 0–2 Fulham | 0.93–3.29 | 7% · 11% · 82% | Win in line with xG for Fulham |
| Arsenal 0–2 Aston Villa | 1.64–0.94 | 54% · 25% · 22% | Won against the xG: Aston Villa |
| Chelsea 6–0 Everton | 3.08–1.48 | 70% · 15% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Chelsea |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.