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10 of 10 matches with xG: 40 goals from 31.4 xG (1.27 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luton 1–5 Brentford | 0.59–3.14 | 4% · 9% · 87% | Win in line with xG for Brentford |
| Sheffield Utd 1–4 Burnley | 2.43–2.18 | 45% · 19% · 36% | Close call, Burnley won |
| Wolves 0–2 Arsenal | 0.14–1.26 | 4% · 29% · 67% | Win in line with xG for Arsenal |
| Everton 2–0 Nottingham Forest | 0.34–0.95 | 13% · 37% · 50% | Won against the xG: Everton |
| Aston Villa 3–1 Bournemouth | 2.51–1.77 | 54% · 19% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Aston Villa |
| Crystal Palace 5–2 West Ham | 2.36–1.27 | 62% · 19% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Crystal Palace |
| Fulham 1–3 Liverpool | 0.80–1.00 | 28% · 33% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Liverpool |
| Tottenham 0–2 Manchester City | 1.66–2.40 | 26% · 19% · 54% | Win in line with xG for Manchester City |
| Brighton 1–2 Chelsea | 1.27–1.54 | 31% · 25% · 44% | Win in line with xG for Chelsea |
| Manchester United 3–2 Newcastle | 1.45–2.37 | 23% · 19% · 58% | Won against the xG: Manchester United |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.