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10 of 10 matches with xG: 32 goals from 29.5 xG (1.08 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham 2–2 Liverpool | 0.70–1.75 | 14% · 23% · 63% | Draw against the xG: Liverpool had 63% |
| Fulham 1–1 Crystal Palace | 1.14–1.01 | 39% · 29% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| Manchester United 1–1 Burnley | 2.71–2.06 | 52% · 18% · 30% | Draw against the xG: Manchester United had 52% |
| Newcastle 5–1 Sheffield Utd | 3.11–1.55 | 69% · 15% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Newcastle |
| Wolves 2–1 Luton | 1.21–0.59 | 51% · 31% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Wolves |
| Everton 1–0 Brentford | 0.86–0.88 | 33% · 34% · 34% | Close call, Everton won |
| Aston Villa 2–2 Chelsea | 1.10–1.57 | 27% · 25% · 48% | Draw in line with xG |
| Bournemouth 3–0 Brighton | 2.11–0.94 | 64% · 20% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Bournemouth |
| Tottenham 2–3 Arsenal | 2.42–1.03 | 68% · 18% · 14% | Won against the xG: Arsenal |
| Nottingham Forest 0–2 Manchester City | 1.93–0.87 | 62% · 21% · 16% | Won against the xG: Manchester City |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.