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10 of 10 matches with xG: 36 goals from 34.8 xG (1.03 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luton 1–1 Everton | 0.81–1.42 | 21% · 27% · 51% | Draw against the xG: Everton had 51% |
| Arsenal 3–0 Bournemouth | 3.38–0.46 | 91% · 7% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Arsenal |
| Brentford 0–0 Fulham | 0.63–1.28 | 18% · 29% · 52% | Draw against the xG: Fulham had 52% |
| Burnley 1–4 Newcastle | 1.04–3.54 | 7% · 10% · 83% | Win in line with xG for Newcastle |
| Sheffield Utd 1–3 Nottingham Forest | 2.27–1.49 | 55% · 20% · 25% | Won against the xG: Nottingham Forest |
| Manchester City 5–1 Wolves | 3.74–0.35 | 94% · 5% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Manchester City |
| Brighton 1–0 Aston Villa | 2.53–0.05 | 91% · 9% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Brighton |
| Chelsea 5–0 West Ham | 4.22–0.88 | 91% · 6% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Chelsea |
| Liverpool 4–2 Tottenham | 3.37–1.24 | 78% · 12% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Liverpool |
| Crystal Palace 4–0 Manchester United | 1.75–0.35 | 72% · 21% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Crystal Palace |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.