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10 of 10 matches with xG: 33 goals from 32.9 xG (1.00 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham 0–4 Manchester City | 0.12–3.25 | 1% · 5% · 95% | Win in line with xG for Manchester City |
| Bournemouth 1–2 Brentford | 0.67–1.08 | 23% · 32% · 45% | Win in line with xG for Brentford |
| Everton 1–0 Sheffield Utd | 2.35–0.60 | 77% · 16% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Everton |
| Newcastle 1–1 Brighton | 2.22–1.37 | 57% · 20% · 23% | Draw against the xG: Newcastle had 57% |
| Tottenham 2–1 Burnley | 2.72–0.67 | 80% · 13% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Tottenham |
| West Ham 3–1 Luton | 3.17–0.32 | 91% · 7% · 2% | Win in line with xG for West Ham |
| Wolves 1–3 Crystal Palace | 1.57–2.70 | 21% · 18% · 62% | Win in line with xG for Crystal Palace |
| Nottingham Forest 2–3 Chelsea | 1.56–1.59 | 38% · 24% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Chelsea |
| Manchester United 0–1 Arsenal | 0.51–1.52 | 12% · 25% · 62% | Win in line with xG for Arsenal |
| Aston Villa 3–3 Liverpool | 3.20–1.74 | 66% · 15% · 18% | Draw against the xG: Aston Villa had 66% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.