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10 of 10 matches with xG: 31 goals from 30.8 xG (1.01 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal 0–0 Everton | 1.22–0.09 | 67% · 30% · 3% | Draw against the xG: Arsenal had 67% |
| Liverpool 2–2 Fulham | 2.13–1.22 | 58% · 21% · 21% | Draw against the xG: Liverpool had 58% |
| Newcastle 4–0 Leicester | 3.79–0.19 | 96% · 3% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Newcastle |
| Wolves 1–2 Ipswich | 1.27–1.20 | 38% · 27% · 35% | Close call, Ipswich won |
| Nottingham Forest 2–1 Aston Villa | 1.78–0.42 | 71% · 21% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Nottingham Forest |
| Brighton 1–3 Crystal Palace | 1.00–2.31 | 15% · 18% · 67% | Win in line with xG for Crystal Palace |
| Manchester City 1–2 Manchester United | 0.95–2.08 | 16% · 20% · 63% | Win in line with xG for Manchester United |
| Chelsea 2–1 Brentford | 2.23–1.61 | 52% · 20% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Chelsea |
| Southampton 0–5 Tottenham | 0.84–2.44 | 11% · 16% · 73% | Win in line with xG for Tottenham |
| Bournemouth 1–1 West Ham | 2.01–2.06 | 39% · 21% · 41% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.