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10 of 10 matches with xG: 17 goals from 23.8 xG (0.71 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City 1–1 Everton | 2.09–0.63 | 71% · 19% · 10% | Draw against the xG: Manchester City had 71% |
| Bournemouth 0–0 Crystal Palace | 1.47–0.45 | 63% · 26% · 11% | Draw against the xG: Bournemouth had 63% |
| Chelsea 1–2 Fulham | 1.12–1.78 | 24% · 23% · 53% | Win in line with xG for Fulham |
| Newcastle 3–0 Aston Villa | 2.76–0.34 | 87% · 10% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Newcastle |
| Nottingham Forest 1–0 Tottenham | 1.12–0.90 | 41% · 30% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Nottingham Forest |
| Southampton 0–1 West Ham | 1.40–1.81 | 30% · 23% · 47% | Win in line with xG for West Ham |
| Wolves 2–0 Manchester United | 0.86–0.44 | 44% · 39% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Wolves |
| Liverpool 3–1 Leicester | 1.91–0.34 | 76% · 19% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Liverpool |
| Brighton 0–0 Brentford | 1.31–1.07 | 42% · 28% · 30% | Draw in line with xG |
| Arsenal 1–0 Ipswich | 1.86–0.15 | 80% · 17% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Arsenal |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.