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Premier League 2025/2026 xG Round-Up: Matchday 38

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Matches

Matchday 38 in xG

10 of 10 matches with xG: 24 goals from 30.0 xG (0.80 goals per xG).

Every match

MatchxGChances (home · draw · away)Result on xG
Brighton 0–3 Manchester United0.79–1.6618% · 24% · 58%Win in line with xG for Manchester United
Burnley 1–1 Wolves0.98–2.0917% · 20% · 63%Draw against the xG: Wolves had 63%
Crystal Palace 1–2 Arsenal0.98–2.5313% · 16% · 71%Win in line with xG for Arsenal
Fulham 2–0 Newcastle1.81–0.3175% · 20% · 6%Win in line with xG for Fulham
Liverpool 1–1 Brentford3.04–1.5667% · 15% · 17%Draw against the xG: Liverpool had 67%
Manchester City 1–2 Aston Villa1.34–1.7729% · 23% · 48%Win in line with xG for Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest 1–1 Bournemouth1.73–0.9556% · 24% · 21%Draw against the xG: Nottingham Forest had 56%
Sunderland 2–1 Chelsea1.84–0.8960% · 22% · 18%Win in line with xG for Sunderland
Tottenham 1–0 Everton1.15–0.4155% · 32% · 13%Win in line with xG for Tottenham
West Ham 3–0 Leeds2.61–1.5960% · 18% · 22%Win in line with xG for West Ham

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

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