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10 of 10 matches with xG: 32 goals from 31.8 xG (1.01 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa 4–2 Liverpool | 1.91–1.55 | 46% · 22% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Aston Villa |
| Manchester United 3–2 Nottingham Forest | 4.57–1.88 | 81% · 9% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Manchester United |
| Brentford 2–2 Crystal Palace | 1.71–1.72 | 39% · 23% · 39% | Draw in line with xG |
| Everton 1–3 Sunderland | 1.04–0.76 | 41% · 32% · 26% | Won against the xG: Sunderland |
| Leeds 1–0 Brighton | 0.39–3.06 | 3% · 8% · 89% | Won against the xG: Leeds |
| Wolves 1–1 Fulham | 1.40–1.59 | 34% · 24% · 42% | Draw in line with xG |
| Newcastle 3–1 West Ham | 1.73–0.95 | 56% · 24% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Newcastle |
| Arsenal 1–0 Burnley | 1.29–0.19 | 66% · 29% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Arsenal |
| Bournemouth 1–1 Manchester City | 2.25–1.48 | 55% · 20% · 25% | Draw against the xG: Bournemouth had 55% |
| Chelsea 2–1 Tottenham | 0.63–1.72 | 13% · 23% · 64% | Won against the xG: Chelsea |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.