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10 of 10 matches with xG: 22 goals from 25.3 xG (0.87 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool 1–1 Chelsea | 0.56–0.50 | 29% · 45% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| Brighton 3–0 Wolves | 1.62–0.49 | 65% · 24% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Brighton |
| Fulham 0–1 Bournemouth | 1.33–0.82 | 49% · 28% · 23% | Won against the xG: Bournemouth |
| Sunderland 0–0 Manchester United | 1.25–0.62 | 52% · 30% · 18% | Draw against the xG: Sunderland had 52% |
| Manchester City 3–0 Brentford | 2.98–0.24 | 91% · 7% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Manchester City |
| Burnley 2–2 Aston Villa | 1.79–1.44 | 46% · 23% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| Crystal Palace 2–2 Everton | 2.56–1.59 | 59% · 18% · 23% | Draw against the xG: Crystal Palace had 59% |
| Nottingham Forest 1–1 Newcastle | 1.10–1.48 | 28% · 26% · 46% | Draw in line with xG |
| West Ham 0–1 Arsenal | 1.15–1.18 | 35% · 28% · 37% | Win in line with xG for Arsenal |
| Tottenham 1–1 Leeds | 1.27–1.34 | 35% · 26% · 38% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.