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10 of 10 matches with xG: 37 goals from 32.0 xG (1.15 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds 3–1 Burnley | 1.64–0.57 | 64% · 24% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Leeds |
| Brentford 3–0 West Ham | 2.27–0.92 | 68% · 18% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Brentford |
| Newcastle 3–1 Brighton | 3.16–1.53 | 70% · 15% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Newcastle |
| Wolves 1–1 Sunderland | 1.72–0.66 | 63% · 23% · 14% | Draw against the xG: Wolves had 63% |
| Arsenal 3–0 Fulham | 3.23–0.37 | 91% · 7% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Arsenal |
| Bournemouth 3–0 Crystal Palace | 2.08–0.89 | 65% · 20% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Bournemouth |
| Manchester United 3–2 Liverpool | 2.34–0.89 | 70% · 18% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Manchester United |
| Aston Villa 1–2 Tottenham | 0.32–0.99 | 12% · 36% · 52% | Win in line with xG for Tottenham |
| Chelsea 1–3 Nottingham Forest | 2.15–2.05 | 42% · 20% · 38% | Close call, Nottingham Forest won |
| Everton 3–3 Manchester City | 2.72–1.54 | 63% · 17% · 20% | Draw against the xG: Everton had 63% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.