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Premier League xG Fixture Difficulty 2026/2027

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Matches

xG fixture difficulty

Each team's next five league matches, the opponent rated by its xG this season at that venue, against the league's 1.48 xG a team a match. From the xG of 100 matches; not a prediction or a tip.

For attackers: the opponent's xG against

Easiest run first: the more chances it gives away, the easier to score.

TeamNext fiveAvg
CoventryCrystal Palace (H), easiest · Leeds (A), hard · Ipswich (H), easiest · Manchester United (A), easiest · Aston Villa (H), easiest1.6
Aston VillaSunderland (H), easiest · Ipswich (A), easy · Everton (H), average · Crystal Palace (H), easiest · Coventry (A), average2.0
Manchester UnitedLiverpool (A), hard · Brentford (H), easy · Newcastle (A), easiest · Coventry (H), average · Crystal Palace (A), easiest2.2
LiverpoolManchester United (H), easy · Everton (A), average · Sunderland (H), easiest · Chelsea (A), average · Leeds (H), average2.4
Crystal PalaceCoventry (A), average · Hull City (H), average · Chelsea (A), average · Aston Villa (A), easy · Manchester United (H), easy2.6
LeedsChelsea (A), average · Coventry (H), average · Manchester City (A), average · Ipswich (H), easiest · Liverpool (A), hard2.8
NewcastleArsenal (H), hardest · Brighton (A), hard · Manchester United (H), easy · Sunderland (H), easiest · Ipswich (A), easy2.8
SunderlandAston Villa (A), easy · Tottenham (H), average · Liverpool (A), hard · Newcastle (A), easiest · Nottingham Forest (H), hard2.8
ChelseaLeeds (H), average · Nottingham Forest (A), hardest · Crystal Palace (H), easiest · Liverpool (H), hard · Manchester City (A), average3.2
Hull CityBrighton (H), average · Crystal Palace (A), easiest · Nottingham Forest (H), hard · Bournemouth (A), hardest · Tottenham (H), average3.2
IpswichTottenham (A), hardest · Aston Villa (H), easiest · Coventry (A), average · Leeds (A), hard · Newcastle (H), average3.2
TottenhamIpswich (H), easiest · Sunderland (A), hard · Fulham (H), average · Arsenal (H), hardest · Hull City (A), average3.2
BrentfordEverton (H), average · Manchester United (A), easiest · Arsenal (H), hardest · Manchester City (H), hardest · Fulham (A), average3.4
EvertonBrentford (A), hard · Liverpool (H), hard · Aston Villa (A), easy · Fulham (H), average · Brighton (A), hard3.4
FulhamManchester City (A), average · Bournemouth (H), hard · Tottenham (A), hardest · Everton (A), average · Brentford (H), easy3.4
Manchester CityFulham (H), average · Arsenal (A), hardest · Leeds (H), average · Brentford (A), hard · Chelsea (H), easy3.4
Nottingham ForestBournemouth (A), hardest · Chelsea (H), easy · Hull City (A), average · Brighton (H), average · Sunderland (A), hard3.4
BournemouthNottingham Forest (H), hard · Fulham (A), average · Brighton (H), average · Hull City (H), average · Arsenal (A), hardest3.6
ArsenalNewcastle (A), easiest · Manchester City (H), hardest · Brentford (A), hard · Tottenham (A), hardest · Bournemouth (H), hard3.8
BrightonHull City (A), average · Newcastle (H), average · Bournemouth (A), hardest · Nottingham Forest (A), hardest · Everton (H), average3.8

For defenders: the opponent's xG for

Easiest run first: the more chances it makes, the harder to keep a clean sheet.

TeamNext fiveAvg
Crystal PalaceCoventry (A), easiest · Hull City (H), easiest · Chelsea (A), average · Aston Villa (A), easy · Manchester United (H), average2.0
Manchester UnitedLiverpool (A), average · Brentford (H), easy · Newcastle (A), easy · Coventry (H), easiest · Crystal Palace (A), average2.2
Aston VillaSunderland (H), hard · Ipswich (A), easy · Everton (H), average · Crystal Palace (H), easy · Coventry (A), easiest2.4
IpswichTottenham (A), average · Aston Villa (H), average · Coventry (A), easiest · Leeds (A), average · Newcastle (H), easy2.4
BrightonHull City (A), easiest · Newcastle (H), easy · Bournemouth (A), hardest · Nottingham Forest (A), easy · Everton (H), average2.6
SunderlandAston Villa (A), easy · Tottenham (H), easiest · Liverpool (A), average · Newcastle (A), easy · Nottingham Forest (H), hardest2.6
TottenhamIpswich (H), average · Sunderland (A), hard · Fulham (H), easy · Arsenal (H), average · Hull City (A), easiest2.6
LiverpoolManchester United (H), average · Everton (A), easy · Sunderland (H), hard · Chelsea (A), average · Leeds (H), easy2.8
Manchester CityFulham (H), easy · Arsenal (A), hard · Leeds (H), easy · Brentford (A), hard · Chelsea (H), easy2.8
ChelseaLeeds (H), easy · Nottingham Forest (A), easy · Crystal Palace (H), easy · Liverpool (H), hard · Manchester City (A), hardest3.0
LeedsChelsea (A), average · Coventry (H), easiest · Manchester City (A), hardest · Ipswich (H), average · Liverpool (A), average3.0
CoventryCrystal Palace (H), easy · Leeds (A), average · Ipswich (H), average · Manchester United (A), hardest · Aston Villa (H), average3.2
FulhamManchester City (A), hardest · Bournemouth (H), hard · Tottenham (A), average · Everton (A), easy · Brentford (H), easy3.2
Nottingham ForestBournemouth (A), hardest · Chelsea (H), easy · Hull City (A), easiest · Brighton (H), hard · Sunderland (A), hard3.2
ArsenalNewcastle (A), easy · Manchester City (H), hard · Brentford (A), hard · Tottenham (A), average · Bournemouth (H), hard3.4
BournemouthNottingham Forest (H), hardest · Fulham (A), average · Brighton (H), hard · Hull City (H), easiest · Arsenal (A), hard3.4
EvertonBrentford (A), hard · Liverpool (H), hard · Aston Villa (A), easy · Fulham (H), easy · Brighton (A), hardest3.4
NewcastleArsenal (H), average · Brighton (A), hardest · Manchester United (H), average · Sunderland (H), hard · Ipswich (A), easy3.4
BrentfordEverton (H), average · Manchester United (A), hardest · Arsenal (H), average · Manchester City (H), hard · Fulham (A), average3.6
Hull CityBrighton (H), hard · Crystal Palace (A), average · Nottingham Forest (H), hardest · Bournemouth (A), hardest · Tottenham (H), easiest3.6

Overall: the opponent's xG difference

Easiest run first: its xG for minus against.

TeamNext fiveAvg
Aston VillaSunderland (H), easy · Ipswich (A), easiest · Everton (H), average · Crystal Palace (H), easiest · Coventry (A), easiest1.6
Manchester UnitedLiverpool (A), average · Brentford (H), easy · Newcastle (A), easiest · Coventry (H), easiest · Crystal Palace (A), easiest1.6
Crystal PalaceCoventry (A), easiest · Hull City (H), easy · Chelsea (A), average · Aston Villa (A), easiest · Manchester United (H), easy1.8
CoventryCrystal Palace (H), easiest · Leeds (A), hard · Ipswich (H), easiest · Manchester United (A), average · Aston Villa (H), easiest2.0
IpswichTottenham (A), hard · Aston Villa (H), easiest · Coventry (A), easiest · Leeds (A), hard · Newcastle (H), easy2.4
LiverpoolManchester United (H), easy · Everton (A), average · Sunderland (H), easy · Chelsea (A), average · Leeds (H), easy2.4
SunderlandAston Villa (A), easiest · Tottenham (H), easy · Liverpool (A), average · Newcastle (A), easiest · Nottingham Forest (H), hardest2.4
LeedsChelsea (A), average · Coventry (H), easiest · Manchester City (A), hardest · Ipswich (H), easiest · Liverpool (A), average2.6
BrightonHull City (A), easiest · Newcastle (H), easy · Bournemouth (A), hardest · Nottingham Forest (A), average · Everton (H), average2.8
TottenhamIpswich (H), easiest · Sunderland (A), hard · Fulham (H), average · Arsenal (H), hardest · Hull City (A), easiest2.8
ChelseaLeeds (H), easy · Nottingham Forest (A), average · Crystal Palace (H), easiest · Liverpool (H), hard · Manchester City (A), hardest3.0
NewcastleArsenal (H), hardest · Brighton (A), hardest · Manchester United (H), easy · Sunderland (H), easy · Ipswich (A), easiest3.0
Manchester CityFulham (H), average · Arsenal (A), hardest · Leeds (H), easy · Brentford (A), hard · Chelsea (H), easy3.2
Nottingham ForestBournemouth (A), hardest · Chelsea (H), easy · Hull City (A), easiest · Brighton (H), hard · Sunderland (A), hard3.2
EvertonBrentford (A), hard · Liverpool (H), hard · Aston Villa (A), easiest · Fulham (H), average · Brighton (A), hardest3.4
Hull CityBrighton (H), hard · Crystal Palace (A), easiest · Nottingham Forest (H), hardest · Bournemouth (A), hardest · Tottenham (H), easy3.4
ArsenalNewcastle (A), easiest · Manchester City (H), hardest · Brentford (A), hard · Tottenham (A), hard · Bournemouth (H), hard3.6
FulhamManchester City (A), hardest · Bournemouth (H), hard · Tottenham (A), hard · Everton (A), average · Brentford (H), easy3.6
BournemouthNottingham Forest (H), hardest · Fulham (A), average · Brighton (H), hard · Hull City (H), easy · Arsenal (A), hardest3.8
BrentfordEverton (H), average · Manchester United (A), average · Arsenal (H), hardest · Manchester City (H), hardest · Fulham (A), average3.8

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