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9 of 9 matches with xG: 14 goals from 21.1 xG (0.66 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier 0–0 Nice | 0.42–0.75 | 19% · 42% · 40% | Draw in line with xG |
| Reims 0–3 PSG | 1.40–2.27 | 23% · 20% · 57% | Win in line with xG for PSG |
| Le Havre 0–0 Monaco | 1.44–0.59 | 58% · 27% · 15% | Draw against the xG: Le Havre had 58% |
| Lille 1–1 Toulouse | 2.62–0.10 | 91% · 8% · 1% | Draw against the xG: Lille had 91% |
| Clermont Foot 1–0 Lorient | 1.52–0.52 | 62% · 25% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Clermont Foot |
| Metz 3–1 Nantes | 0.99–1.36 | 27% · 27% · 45% | Won against the xG: Metz |
| Rennes 0–1 Lyon | 0.92–1.49 | 23% · 26% · 50% | Win in line with xG for Lyon |
| Lens 1–0 Marseille | 1.08–1.13 | 34% · 29% · 37% | Close call, Lens won |
| Brest 1–1 Strasbourg | 1.03–1.50 | 26% · 26% · 48% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.