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9 of 9 matches with xG: 28 goals from 28.2 xG (0.99 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSG 5–2 Monaco | 2.59–1.56 | 60% · 18% · 22% | Win in line with xG for PSG |
| Clermont Foot 0–3 Lens | 1.91–2.27 | 33% · 20% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Lens |
| Strasbourg 1–1 Marseille | 1.14–1.46 | 30% · 26% · 44% | Draw in line with xG |
| Nice 1–0 Toulouse | 0.95–1.32 | 27% · 28% · 45% | Won against the xG: Nice |
| Lorient 2–3 Metz | 1.21–1.87 | 25% · 23% · 53% | Win in line with xG for Metz |
| Nantes 0–0 Le Havre | 1.34–0.24 | 66% · 28% · 6% | Draw against the xG: Nantes had 66% |
| Montpellier 1–3 Brest | 1.75–1.72 | 39% · 22% · 38% | Close call, Brest won |
| Rennes 3–1 Reims | 1.93–1.57 | 46% · 22% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Rennes |
| Lyon 0–2 Lille | 1.92–1.48 | 48% · 22% · 30% | Won against the xG: Lille |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.