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9 of 9 matches with xG: 22 goals from 28.4 xG (0.78 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reims 2–1 Strasbourg | 1.97–1.77 | 43% · 21% · 35% | Win in line with xG for Reims |
| Lens 3–2 Lyon | 2.10–2.73 | 30% · 18% · 52% | Won against the xG: Lens |
| Nantes 1–0 Nice | 1.42–1.39 | 38% · 25% · 37% | Win in line with xG for Nantes |
| Le Havre 0–2 PSG | 1.99–1.36 | 52% · 22% · 26% | Won against the xG: PSG |
| Toulouse 1–1 Lorient | 1.02–0.80 | 40% · 32% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
| Monaco 2–0 Montpellier | 2.25–0.86 | 69% · 18% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Monaco |
| Brest 3–0 Clermont Foot | 1.44–0.76 | 53% · 27% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Brest |
| Lille 2–0 Metz | 3.09–1.87 | 62% · 16% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Lille |
| Marseille 2–0 Rennes | 0.94–0.62 | 42% · 35% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Marseille |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.