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9 of 9 matches with xG: 22 goals from 23.6 xG (0.93 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier 0–0 Lens | 1.28–1.14 | 40% · 27% · 33% | Draw in line with xG |
| Rennes 1–2 Monaco | 1.70–0.89 | 57% · 24% · 20% | Won against the xG: Monaco |
| PSG 2–1 Nantes | 2.02–0.56 | 72% · 19% · 9% | Win in line with xG for PSG |
| Nice 2–1 Reims | 0.93–1.33 | 26% · 28% · 46% | Won against the xG: Nice |
| Strasbourg 2–1 Le Havre | 1.57–1.30 | 44% · 25% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Strasbourg |
| Clermont Foot 0–0 Lille | 1.35–0.99 | 45% · 28% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
| Metz 0–1 Brest | 0.22–0.32 | 15% · 62% · 23% | Close call, Brest won |
| Lyon 3–0 Toulouse | 1.83–1.55 | 45% · 22% · 33% | Win in line with xG for Lyon |
| Lorient 2–4 Marseille | 2.26–2.35 | 39% · 19% · 42% | Win in line with xG for Marseille |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.