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9 of 9 matches with xG: 24 goals from 21.4 xG (1.12 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSG 3–1 Metz | 2.37–0.14 | 88% · 11% · 1% | Win in line with xG for PSG |
| Strasbourg 2–1 Lille | 0.73–0.62 | 34% · 39% · 27% | Close call, Strasbourg won |
| Toulouse 1–2 Monaco | 1.36–1.90 | 28% · 22% · 50% | Win in line with xG for Monaco |
| Lyon 1–0 Nantes | 1.71–0.46 | 68% · 22% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Lyon |
| Nice 2–0 Lens | 2.52–0.51 | 81% · 13% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Nice |
| Clermont Foot 1–3 Rennes | 0.58–2.60 | 6% · 13% · 81% | Win in line with xG for Rennes |
| Reims 1–0 Le Havre | 1.15–0.27 | 59% · 32% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Reims |
| Montpellier 1–1 Marseille | 0.90–1.35 | 25% · 28% · 47% | Draw in line with xG |
| Brest 4–0 Lorient | 1.89–0.39 | 74% · 19% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Brest |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.