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9 of 9 matches with xG: 23 goals from 24.8 xG (0.93 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille 1–1 Strasbourg | 1.36–1.19 | 41% · 27% · 33% | Draw in line with xG |
| Monaco 1–3 Reims | 1.18–1.54 | 29% · 25% · 46% | Win in line with xG for Reims |
| Rennes 2–0 Nice | 2.06–0.66 | 70% · 19% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Rennes |
| Lille 3–0 Lorient | 2.29–0.12 | 87% · 12% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Lille |
| Nantes 1–2 Clermont Foot | 1.95–1.05 | 58% · 22% · 20% | Won against the xG: Clermont Foot |
| Metz 0–1 Toulouse | 0.71–0.96 | 26% · 34% · 40% | Win in line with xG for Toulouse |
| Brest 2–0 Montpellier | 3.35–0.39 | 91% · 7% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Brest |
| Le Havre 3–1 Lyon | 1.18–0.77 | 46% · 30% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Le Havre |
| Lens 0–2 PSG | 2.18–1.83 | 47% · 20% · 33% | Close call, PSG won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.