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9 of 9 matches with xG: 24 goals from 21.0 xG (1.14 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon 2–3 Rennes | 0.93–0.85 | 36% · 33% · 31% | Close call, Rennes won |
| Nice 1–0 Metz | 2.21–0.09 | 87% · 12% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Nice |
| Marseille 2–2 Monaco | 2.49–0.47 | 82% · 13% · 5% | Draw against the xG: Marseille had 82% |
| Montpellier 0–0 Lille | 0.67–0.53 | 34% · 42% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| Lorient 3–3 Le Havre | 1.03–1.59 | 25% · 25% · 50% | Draw against the xG: Le Havre had 50% |
| Clermont Foot 1–1 Strasbourg | 1.55–1.10 | 48% · 25% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
| Reims 0–0 Nantes | 0.93–1.23 | 28% · 29% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
| Toulouse 0–2 Lens | 1.78–0.79 | 61% · 23% · 16% | Won against the xG: Lens |
| PSG 2–2 Brest | 2.08–0.71 | 69% · 19% · 12% | Draw against the xG: PSG had 69% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.