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9 of 9 matches with xG: 22 goals from 25.0 xG (0.88 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strasbourg 1–2 PSG | 2.79–2.02 | 55% · 18% · 28% | Won against the xG: PSG |
| Rennes 2–1 Montpellier | 1.97–1.27 | 54% · 22% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Rennes |
| Nantes 0–1 Lens | 0.66–1.60 | 15% · 25% · 60% | Win in line with xG for Lens |
| Monaco 1–1 Le Havre | 1.40–0.10 | 72% · 26% · 3% | Draw against the xG: Monaco had 72% |
| Lille 4–0 Clermont Foot | 2.85–0.39 | 87% · 10% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Lille |
| Reims 2–3 Toulouse | 2.53–1.37 | 63% · 18% · 19% | Won against the xG: Toulouse |
| Metz 1–2 Lorient | 1.09–1.43 | 29% · 26% · 45% | Win in line with xG for Lorient |
| Brest 0–0 Nice | 1.06–0.74 | 43% · 32% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| Lyon 1–0 Marseille | 1.43–0.33 | 65% · 26% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Lyon |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.