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9 of 9 matches with xG: 23 goals from 29.0 xG (0.79 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco 0–0 PSG | 1.61–1.50 | 40% · 24% · 36% | Draw in line with xG |
| Reims 0–1 Lille | 0.62–1.13 | 20% · 32% · 48% | Win in line with xG for Lille |
| Clermont Foot 1–5 Marseille | 0.69–2.63 | 7% · 14% · 79% | Win in line with xG for Marseille |
| Toulouse 2–1 Nice | 1.79–1.44 | 46% · 23% · 31% | Win in line with xG for Toulouse |
| Nantes 0–2 Metz | 0.90–2.33 | 13% · 18% · 69% | Win in line with xG for Metz |
| Montpellier 2–2 Strasbourg | 1.69–1.77 | 37% · 22% · 40% | Draw in line with xG |
| Brest 1–0 Le Havre | 0.97–0.59 | 43% · 35% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Brest |
| Rennes 1–2 Lorient | 1.39–1.97 | 27% · 22% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Lorient |
| Lyon 0–3 Lens | 2.40–3.57 | 24% · 15% · 61% | Win in line with xG for Lens |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.