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9 of 9 matches with xG: 19 goals from 20.3 xG (0.94 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nice 1–2 Montpellier | 1.10–1.19 | 34% · 28% · 38% | Win in line with xG for Montpellier |
| Lorient 0–2 Lyon | 0.52–1.91 | 9% · 20% · 71% | Win in line with xG for Lyon |
| Lens 1–0 Brest | 0.90–0.74 | 37% · 35% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Lens |
| PSG 2–2 Reims | 1.26–1.26 | 37% · 27% · 37% | Draw in line with xG |
| Strasbourg 0–1 Monaco | 0.38–1.31 | 11% · 29% · 60% | Win in line with xG for Monaco |
| Le Havre 1–0 Toulouse | 1.18–0.29 | 59% · 32% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Le Havre |
| Metz 1–0 Clermont Foot | 1.36–0.87 | 48% · 28% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Metz |
| Lille 2–2 Rennes | 2.41–1.11 | 66% · 18% · 16% | Draw against the xG: Lille had 66% |
| Marseille 2–0 Nantes | 1.46–1.07 | 46% · 26% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Marseille |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.