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9 of 9 matches with xG: 35 goals from 27.4 xG (1.28 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse 2–3 Lyon | 2.43–1.37 | 61% · 19% · 20% | Won against the xG: Lyon |
| Nantes 1–3 Strasbourg | 1.12–1.95 | 21% · 22% · 57% | Win in line with xG for Strasbourg |
| Lens 1–3 Nice | 1.22–2.21 | 20% · 20% · 60% | Win in line with xG for Nice |
| Brest 1–1 Lille | 0.88–0.82 | 35% · 34% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| Monaco 2–2 Lorient | 2.86–0.78 | 80% · 13% · 7% | Draw against the xG: Monaco had 80% |
| Clermont Foot 2–1 Le Havre | 1.12–1.15 | 35% · 29% · 36% | Close call, Clermont Foot won |
| Reims 2–1 Metz | 2.17–0.86 | 67% · 19% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Reims |
| Rennes 2–0 Marseille | 1.36–0.74 | 52% · 28% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Rennes |
| Montpellier 2–6 PSG | 2.58–1.73 | 56% · 18% · 25% | Won against the xG: PSG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.