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9 of 9 matches with xG: 30 goals from 24.6 xG (1.22 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Metz 2–1 Lens | 0.82–1.54 | 20% · 26% · 54% | Won against the xG: Metz |
| Strasbourg 3–1 Reims | 2.22–0.53 | 76% · 16% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Strasbourg |
| Rennes 1–2 Toulouse | 0.96–0.54 | 44% · 35% · 20% | Won against the xG: Toulouse |
| Le Havre 0–1 Nantes | 1.43–0.79 | 52% · 27% · 21% | Won against the xG: Nantes |
| Clermont Foot 1–1 Montpellier | 1.49–1.42 | 39% · 25% · 36% | Draw in line with xG |
| Lyon 4–3 Brest | 2.26–1.56 | 54% · 20% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Lyon |
| Lorient 1–4 PSG | 0.91–1.58 | 22% · 25% · 53% | Win in line with xG for PSG |
| Marseille 2–2 Nice | 2.24–1.43 | 56% · 20% · 24% | Draw against the xG: Marseille had 56% |
| Monaco 1–0 Lille | 1.59–1.31 | 44% · 25% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Monaco |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.