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9 of 9 matches with xG: 23 goals from 22.0 xG (1.05 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nice 3–0 Lorient | 2.57–0.60 | 80% · 14% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Nice |
| Nantes 0–3 Rennes | 0.18–2.37 | 2% · 12% · 87% | Win in line with xG for Rennes |
| Lens 1–0 Clermont Foot | 1.91–0.67 | 67% · 21% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Lens |
| Lille 1–0 Strasbourg | 0.73–1.19 | 23% · 30% · 47% | Won against the xG: Lille |
| Reims 1–2 Montpellier | 1.46–1.61 | 35% · 24% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Montpellier |
| Le Havre 0–1 Metz | 0.68–1.34 | 19% · 28% · 53% | Win in line with xG for Metz |
| Brest 0–2 Monaco | 0.65–0.90 | 25% · 36% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Monaco |
| Toulouse 2–2 Marseille | 0.51–1.10 | 17% · 33% · 50% | Draw against the xG: Marseille had 50% |
| PSG 4–1 Lyon | 2.45–1.05 | 68% · 17% · 14% | Win in line with xG for PSG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.