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9 of 9 matches with xG: 40 goals from 29.0 xG (1.38 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier 1–1 Nantes | 0.81–1.35 | 22% · 28% · 49% | Draw in line with xG |
| PSG 3–3 Le Havre | 2.64–1.02 | 72% · 16% · 12% | Draw against the xG: PSG had 72% |
| Metz 1–2 Lille | 1.13–0.78 | 44% · 31% · 25% | Won against the xG: Lille |
| Strasbourg 1–3 Nice | 0.60–1.56 | 14% · 25% · 61% | Win in line with xG for Nice |
| Lorient 1–2 Toulouse | 1.47–1.88 | 30% · 22% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Toulouse |
| Clermont Foot 4–1 Reims | 3.06–0.84 | 81% · 12% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Clermont Foot |
| Rennes 4–5 Brest | 2.67–2.04 | 52% · 18% · 30% | Won against the xG: Brest |
| Lyon 3–2 Monaco | 2.26–2.03 | 44% · 20% · 36% | Win in line with xG for Lyon |
| Marseille 2–1 Lens | 1.70–1.20 | 49% · 24% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Marseille |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.