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9 of 9 matches with xG: 30 goals from 25.7 xG (1.17 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse 1–2 Montpellier | 1.28–0.47 | 57% · 30% · 14% | Won against the xG: Montpellier |
| Lens 2–0 Lorient | 2.19–0.50 | 76% · 17% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Lens |
| Le Havre 3–1 Strasbourg | 1.84–1.02 | 57% · 23% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Le Havre |
| Monaco 4–1 Clermont Foot | 3.67–1.43 | 78% · 11% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Monaco |
| Metz 2–3 Rennes | 0.61–2.17 | 9% · 18% · 73% | Win in line with xG for Rennes |
| Brest 0–0 Nantes | 0.51–1.51 | 12% · 26% · 62% | Draw against the xG: Nantes had 62% |
| Lille 3–4 Lyon | 0.88–2.45 | 12% · 17% · 72% | Win in line with xG for Lyon |
| Nice 1–2 PSG | 1.38–0.97 | 46% · 27% · 26% | Won against the xG: PSG |
| Reims 1–0 Marseille | 1.12–1.73 | 25% · 24% · 52% | Won against the xG: Reims |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.