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Ligue 1 2024/2025 xG Round-Up: Matchday 25

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Matches

Matchday 25 in xG

9 of 9 matches with xG: 18 goals from 27.9 xG (0.65 goals per xG).

  • Most xG without a win: Toulouse 1–1 Monaco (xG 0.57–2.43). Draw against the xG: Monaco had 79% to win on xG.
  • Biggest win against the xG: Nice 0–2 Lyon (xG 1.44–1.07). The winner had 28% on xG.
  • Win most in line with xG: Brest 2–0 Angers (xG 3.57–0.37). The winner had 93% on xG.
  • Most xG: Rennes 1–4 PSG (xG 1.75–3.85). 5.60 xG in all.
  • Most one-sided: Brest 2–0 Angers (xG 3.57–0.37). An xG gap of 3.20.
  • Most goals above xG: Lyon, +0.93 goals above xG.
  • Most goals below xG: Brest, -1.57 goals below xG.

Every match

MatchxGChances (home · draw · away)Result on xG
Toulouse 1–1 Monaco0.57–2.437% · 15% · 79%Draw against the xG: Monaco had 79%
Rennes 1–4 PSG1.75–3.8513% · 12% · 75%Win in line with xG for PSG
Lille 1–0 Montpellier1.54–0.3368% · 24% · 8%Win in line with xG for Lille
Marseille 0–1 Lens1.01–0.8738% · 32% · 30%Close call, Lens won
Brest 2–0 Angers3.57–0.3793% · 6% · 2%Win in line with xG for Brest
Le Havre 1–1 Saint Etienne2.08–1.5151% · 21% · 28%Draw against the xG: Le Havre had 51%
Reims 0–2 Auxerre1.55–2.1428% · 21% · 51%Win in line with xG for Auxerre
Nantes 0–1 Strasbourg0.82–0.9829% · 33% · 38%Win in line with xG for Strasbourg
Nice 0–2 Lyon1.44–1.0746% · 26% · 28%Won against the xG: Lyon

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

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