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9 of 9 matches with xG: 21 goals from 26.0 xG (0.81 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nice 1–1 Auxerre | 2.17–0.75 | 70% · 18% · 12% | Draw against the xG: Nice had 70% |
| Nantes 1–0 Lille | 1.21–1.58 | 29% · 25% · 46% | Won against the xG: Nantes |
| Angers 0–2 Monaco | 0.49–2.05 | 8% · 18% · 74% | Win in line with xG for Monaco |
| Lens 1–0 Rennes | 0.75–0.59 | 35% · 39% · 26% | Close call, Lens won |
| Lyon 4–2 Le Havre | 3.84–1.72 | 75% · 12% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Lyon |
| Montpellier 0–2 Saint Etienne | 0.92–1.21 | 28% · 29% · 43% | Win in line with xG for Saint Etienne |
| Brest 0–0 Reims | 0.36–1.16 | 11% · 32% · 57% | Draw against the xG: Reims had 57% |
| Strasbourg 2–1 Toulouse | 1.69–1.76 | 37% · 22% · 40% | Close call, Strasbourg won |
| PSG 3–1 Marseille | 2.73–0.98 | 74% · 15% · 11% | Win in line with xG for PSG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.