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9 of 9 matches with xG: 36 goals from 28.2 xG (1.27 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strasbourg 4–2 Lyon | 1.09–1.99 | 20% · 21% · 58% | Won against the xG: Strasbourg |
| Reims 3–1 Marseille | 0.98–1.09 | 32% · 30% · 38% | Close call, Reims won |
| Saint Etienne 1–6 PSG | 0.97–3.27 | 7% · 11% · 81% | Win in line with xG for PSG |
| Monaco 2–1 Nice | 2.45–0.51 | 80% · 14% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Monaco |
| Toulouse 2–4 Brest | 2.06–1.36 | 54% · 21% · 25% | Won against the xG: Brest |
| Angers 0–3 Rennes | 0.81–1.54 | 20% · 26% · 55% | Win in line with xG for Rennes |
| Auxerre 1–0 Montpellier | 2.10–0.53 | 74% · 18% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Auxerre |
| Le Havre 3–2 Nantes | 4.33–0.90 | 91% · 6% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Le Havre |
| Lille 1–0 Lens | 1.86–0.41 | 73% · 20% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Lille |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.