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Ligue 1 2024/2025 xG Round-Up: Matchday 29

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Matches

Matchday 29 in xG

9 of 9 matches with xG: 32 goals from 25.3 xG (1.26 goals per xG).

  • Most xG without a win: Nantes 1–1 PSG (xG 0.49–1.60). Draw against the xG: PSG had 65% to win on xG.
  • Biggest win against the xG: Lens 0–2 Reims (xG 3.20–1.34). The winner had 13% on xG.
  • Win most in line with xG: Auxerre 1–3 Lyon (xG 0.74–3.09). The winner had 83% on xG.
  • Most xG: Lens 0–2 Reims (xG 3.20–1.34). 4.54 xG in all.
  • Most one-sided: Auxerre 1–3 Lyon (xG 0.74–3.09). An xG gap of 2.35.
  • Most goals above xG: Saint Etienne, +2.30 goals above xG.
  • Most goals below xG: Lens, -3.20 goals below xG.

Every match

MatchxGChances (home · draw · away)Result on xG
Lens 0–2 Reims3.20–1.3474% · 14% · 13%Won against the xG: Reims
Monaco 3–0 Marseille2.67–1.0672% · 16% · 13%Win in line with xG for Monaco
Toulouse 1–2 Lille0.91–0.4047% · 38% · 16%Won against the xG: Lille
Strasbourg 2–2 Nice0.71–1.7515% · 23% · 62%Draw against the xG: Nice had 62%
Saint Etienne 3–3 Brest0.70–1.5317% · 26% · 57%Draw against the xG: Brest had 57%
Le Havre 1–5 Rennes0.62–2.796% · 12% · 82%Win in line with xG for Rennes
Angers 2–0 Montpellier1.35–0.3862% · 28% · 10%Win in line with xG for Angers
Auxerre 1–3 Lyon0.74–3.096% · 11% · 83%Win in line with xG for Lyon
Nantes 1–1 PSG0.49–1.6011% · 24% · 65%Draw against the xG: PSG had 65%

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

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Matchday 28 · Matchday 30

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