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Ligue 1 2024/2025 xG Round-Up: Matchday 30

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Matches

Matchday 30 in xG

9 of 9 matches with xG: 27 goals from 25.5 xG (1.06 goals per xG).

Every match

MatchxGChances (home · draw · away)Result on xG
Rennes 2–1 Nantes2.77–0.6881% · 13% · 7%Win in line with xG for Rennes
PSG 2–1 Le Havre3.14–0.4589% · 8% · 3%Win in line with xG for PSG
Monaco 0–0 Strasbourg0.93–0.3948% · 37% · 15%Draw in line with xG
Marseille 5–1 Montpellier3.73–0.2495% · 4% · 1%Win in line with xG for Marseille
Lille 3–1 Auxerre2.04–0.2580% · 16% · 4%Win in line with xG for Lille
Nice 2–1 Angers2.86–0.3488% · 9% · 3%Win in line with xG for Nice
Brest 1–3 Lens0.73–2.529% · 15% · 76%Win in line with xG for Lens
Reims 1–0 Toulouse0.74–1.2921% · 29% · 50%Won against the xG: Reims
Saint Etienne 2–1 Lyon1.60–0.7657% · 25% · 18%Win in line with xG for Saint Etienne

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

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Matchday 29 · Matchday 31

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