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9 of 9 matches with xG: 20 goals from 23.1 xG (0.87 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Etienne 1–0 Lille | 1.25–1.24 | 37% · 27% · 36% | Win in line with xG for Saint Etienne |
| Marseille 2–0 Nice | 0.67–2.05 | 11% · 19% · 70% | Won against the xG: Marseille |
| Auxerre 0–3 Monaco | 0.56–3.49 | 3% · 7% · 90% | Win in line with xG for Monaco |
| PSG 3–1 Brest | 2.88–0.97 | 76% · 14% · 10% | Win in line with xG for PSG |
| Rennes 3–0 Montpellier | 1.29–0.33 | 61% · 29% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Rennes |
| Nantes 1–2 Reims | 1.53–0.51 | 63% · 25% · 12% | Won against the xG: Reims |
| Toulouse 2–0 Le Havre | 1.32–0.21 | 66% · 28% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Toulouse |
| Strasbourg 1–1 Angers | 2.26–0.92 | 68% · 18% · 14% | Draw against the xG: Strasbourg had 68% |
| Lens 0–0 Lyon | 1.05–0.56 | 47% · 34% · 19% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.