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9 of 9 matches with xG: 36 goals from 29.2 xG (1.23 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nice 8–0 Saint Etienne | 4.73–0.32 | 97% · 2% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Nice |
| Lille 3–3 Strasbourg | 2.75–3.23 | 34% · 16% · 49% | Draw in line with xG |
| Rennes 1–1 Lens | 1.37–0.56 | 57% · 28% · 15% | Draw against the xG: Rennes had 57% |
| Reims 1–1 PSG | 0.31–1.59 | 7% · 23% · 70% | Draw against the xG: PSG had 70% |
| Monaco 3–1 Le Havre | 1.98–0.57 | 71% · 19% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Monaco |
| Brest 2–0 Toulouse | 0.43–2.77 | 4% · 11% · 86% | Won against the xG: Brest |
| Angers 1–1 Nantes | 0.85–0.62 | 38% · 37% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| Montpellier 3–2 Auxerre | 2.04–1.27 | 55% · 21% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Montpellier |
| Lyon 2–3 Marseille | 3.01–0.79 | 82% · 12% · 7% | Won against the xG: Marseille |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.