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8 of 9 matches with xG: 26 goals from 23.9 xG (1.09 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brest 1–1 Angers | 1.57–0.68 | 59% · 25% · 16% | Draw against the xG: Brest had 59% |
| Lille 0–2 Auxerre | 1.72–0.54 | 66% · 23% · 11% | Won against the xG: Auxerre |
| Lorient 0–2 Le Havre | 1.30–1.25 | 38% · 27% · 35% | Close call, Le Havre won |
| Lyon 0–4 Lens | 1.91–1.54 | 47% · 22% · 31% | Close call, Lens won |
| Marseille 3–1 Rennes | 2.92–2.49 | 48% · 17% · 34% | Win in line with xG for Marseille |
| Nice 0–0 Metz | 1.64–0.85 | 56% · 25% · 19% | Draw against the xG: Nice had 56% |
| Paris FC 2–1 PSG | 2.20–0.61 | 74% · 17% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Paris FC |
| Strasbourg 5–4 Monaco | 1.50–1.13 | 46% · 26% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Strasbourg |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.