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Ligue 1 2025/2026 xG Round-Up: Matchday 33

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Matches

Matchday 33 in xG

9 of 9 matches with xG: 19 goals from 19.9 xG (0.95 goals per xG).

Every match

MatchxGChances (home · draw · away)Result on xG
Lens 1–0 Nantes0.82–1.2524% · 29% · 46%Won against the xG: Lens
Angers 1–1 Strasbourg0.59–2.0210% · 19% · 71%Draw against the xG: Strasbourg had 71%
Auxerre 2–1 Nice0.84–1.3324% · 28% · 48%Won against the xG: Auxerre
Le Havre 0–1 Marseille1.14–1.2134% · 28% · 38%Win in line with xG for Marseille
Metz 0–4 Lorient0.67–2.0011% · 20% · 69%Win in line with xG for Lorient
Monaco 0–1 Lille0.37–0.3922% · 54% · 24%Close call, Lille won
PSG 1–0 Brest1.49–0.1772% · 24% · 4%Win in line with xG for PSG
Rennes 2–1 Paris FC1.77–1.2051% · 23% · 26%Win in line with xG for Rennes
Toulouse 2–1 Lyon1.13–1.5428% · 25% · 47%Won against the xG: Toulouse

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

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Matchday 32 · Matchday 34

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